Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.001088 0.001236 0.001386 0.001549 0.001719 0.001892 0.002080
2025-06-08 0.000858 0.001069 0.001291 0.001539 0.001806 0.002082 0.002389
2025-06-15 0.000728 0.000991 0.001276 0.001602 0.001959 0.002337 0.002761
2025-06-22 0.000566 0.000858 0.001188 0.001575 0.002009 0.002474 0.003003
2025-06-29 0.000456 0.000773 0.001143 0.001589 0.002097 0.002649 0.003285
2025-07-06 0.000413 0.000762 0.001181 0.001693 0.002285 0.002932 0.003682
2025-07-13 0.000314 0.000668 0.001112 0.001669 0.002322 0.003045 0.003889
2025-07-20 0.000218 0.000563 0.001020 0.001610 0.002315 0.003104 0.004033
2025-07-27 0.000177 0.000530 0.001014 0.001652 0.002421 0.003289 0.004316
2025-08-03 0.000124 0.000468 0.000967 0.001639 0.002461 0.003395 0.004508
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000374 0.000867 0.001555 0.002412 0.003397 0.004579
2025-08-17 0.000032 0.000321 0.000819 0.001533 0.002434 0.003478 0.004739
2025-08-24 0.000003 0.000236 0.000729 0.001469 0.002426 0.003550 0.004919
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000182 0.000676 0.001453 0.002478 0.003694 0.005184
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000161 0.000676 0.001510 0.002621 0.003948 0.005580
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000113 0.000618 0.001481 0.002655 0.004070 0.005822
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000085 0.000590 0.001493 0.002738 0.004252 0.006135
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000084 0.000623 0.001594 0.002938 0.004574 0.006610
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000053 0.000574 0.001569 0.002972 0.004694 0.006848
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000023 0.000507 0.001512 0.002960 0.004756 0.007015
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000016 0.000503 0.001552 0.003076 0.004974 0.007367
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000005 0.000468 0.001539 0.003120 0.005101 0.007610
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000396 0.001457 0.003067 0.005107 0.007706